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Hume: David Hume, 1709-1776.
Scottish philosopher and historian.

Hume was an academic skeptic. His philosophy was first given in his
'Treatise of Human Nature', which he later, not long before his death,
retracted, in favour of his 'Enquiries
concerning Human Understanding' and 'Enquiry
concerning the Principles of Morals'. He also wrote an excellent
'Dialogues upon Natural Religion', that was only published after he had
died.
He was not the first to see fundamental problems with the notions of
induction and causality, but was the first to clearly articulate these
and draw public attention to them.
Because Hume was a non-believer he never got an academic position and
found many religious detractors. His
argument on miracles is an important against many religious
arguments. Essentially, it is this: At the
very least a miracle must have a very low probability to be a miracle -
which means that the probability that such a kind of event in reality
did not happen must be as high as
the probability that it did happen is low, because, writing
M for the supposed miracle, pr(M)+pr(not-M)=1. Therefore it is a near
certainty that miracles do not happen, even if they are
defined as events that may happen but have very low probability. And it
is a certainty there are no miracles if miracles have a zero probability
and are impossible. Consequently, it is far more probable in any report
or experience of a supposed miracle that one is deceived or receives
false evidence.
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