The scientists report in Global Change Biology
journal that they have identified a worldwide pattern of change,
centred around 1987, that was seemingly associated with the eruption of Mexico’s El Chichón volcano in 1982.
as these are complex. No single weather event can be taken as
significant, while cause and effect also are not easily linked.
researchers are sure they have found a significant pattern emerging
from a huge range of records—from cherry blossom times in Japan,
Washington DC and Switzerland to grape ripening dates in Germany, and
from the arrival of the migrant sand martins in the UK to the duration
of wildfires in the western US.
demonstrate, based on 72 long time series, that a major change took
place in the world centred on 1987 that involved a step change and move
on to a new regime in a wide range of Earth systems,” says the study’s
lead author, Philip “Chris” Reid, professor of oceanography at Plymouth University’s Marine Institute in the UK.
And there is this:
They found that
the annual timing of the regime shift moved around the world from west
to east, starting with South America in 1984, North America a year
later, the north Atlantic in 1986, Europe in 1987, and Asia in 1988.
Data from the
time series embraces a huge range of systematically-measured events,
such as the temperature of rivers in Switzerland, the mass of
phytoplankton in the North Sea, and the Japan Sea tuna catch.
period, the winter river flow into the Baltic increased by 60%, and the
average duration of wildfires in the western US increased fourfold. The
scientists estimate that the shift in the 1980s was the largest in a
conclude that the shift they perceive will affect how the seas, forests
and wetlands soak up carbon from the atmosphere, a key factor in
continuing climate change.
“The wide range
of changes associated with the 1980s regime shift supports a threshold
thesis that moved the whole global system into a new, rapidly warming
state, with compounding consequences,” they say.
I have believed in climate change since
1970/71. What this study seems to add is that there has been a major shift in the climate starting
around 1986 (nearly 30 years ago).
And again: I don't believe this can be
stopped without very major
changes in the human economy, and the only
chance for such changes - so far as I can see - is a major political revolution, that I
do not see happening at all.
It may happen, eventually, but one of the
things I disagree about with Chris Hedges (whom I like) is that "The
Days Of Revolt" are not here
yet, although I am quite willing to agree with him that this is a great
5. The rapidly disappearing "Free Internet"
The mostly free internet is rapidly
disappearing. It may be you disagree, but here and now I merely note 5
changes that took place in the last 6 years and they all deal with my capacity to know the news:
- The radio - from the air - has
disappeared in Holland, except for 1 sender (that is incredibly awful: only for IQs lower
- The BBC World Service has disappeared
from the air.
- The NRC Handelsblad (Dutch paper that I
read from 1970-2010) grew very
much worse, and now has only
advertisements for itself: To read articles you have to pay.
- The Parool now has only advertisements
for itself: To read articles you have to pay.
- The Guardian cannot be copied anymore
and limits what it makes accessible.
Effectively, I do not know most of the Dutch news
anymore, although I am living
in Holland. (I could pay for a paper, but I do not know any Dutch paper
I wish to pay for: It is all such sick trash! And there simply are no
good daily papers anymore in Holland that I am willing to pay for.)
I can follow the world news, but it seems
to me that The Guardian will probably also soon be blocked for anyone
but paying readers (and no, I am not
going to pay for The Guardian).
Also, the truly sick thing is
(and I can understand the desire of newspapers to make money, and I
know they have far fewer advertisements) that all of these major changes were introduced
without any discussion, and silently, at least for the last
three items, while there is major chatter about the slightest
points of interpretation of the news.